Issues with AI Startups + Cash Burn with Casber Wang, Partner at Sapphire Ventures

Sapphire Ventures partner Casber Wang discusses AI startup challenges, market dynamics, investment areas, and success metrics in a rapidly evolving landscape driven by generative AI.

Key takeaways
  • AI startups face intense competition and high valuations, with many VC firms chasing similar opportunities

  • The market currently has 5-6 major foundation model players (OpenAI, Anthropic, etc.), making it challenging for new entrants

  • Real economic impact from AI is still emerging - while there are time savings and efficiency gains, broad financial impact may take 2+ years to materialize

  • Infrastructure and vertical applications are two key investment areas, with vertical apps showing promise in legal, engineering and other specific domains

  • Founder qualities remain critical - looking for entrepreneurs with:

    • Long-term commitment
    • Ability to attract top talent
    • Prior domain expertise
    • Grounded approach vs pure hype
  • AI is enabling efficiency gains of 10-40% in workflows, but challenges remain around:

    • Scaling efficiently
    • Managing cash burn
    • Standing out in a crowded market
    • Building sustainable differentiation
  • Success metrics still focus on traditional SaaS metrics like:

    • Revenue per employee
    • Customer acquisition costs
    • Growth rate
    • Unit economics
  • Current AI applications are creating most value in:

    • Developer productivity
    • Content creation/marketing
    • Process automation
    • Enterprise search
  • Long tail use cases for AI are emerging but need time to develop real economic value and prove business models

  • Market is very early in the AI journey (< 2 years since ChatGPT) and will take 5-10 years to fully mature